Virginia House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Elaine G. Luria a 69% chance of winning the Virginia House 2018 primary. Elaine G. Luria won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Elaine G. Luria — 69% model odds (won)
  2. Karen Powers Mallard — 15% model odds
  3. Scattered — 15% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts