Utah Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Torrey Jenkins a 14% chance of winning the Utah Senate 2018 primary. Mitt Romney won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Torrey Jenkins — 14% model odds
  2. Mitt Romney — 8% model odds (won)
  3. Mike Kennedy — 8% model odds
  4. Loy Brunson — 8% model odds
  5. Alicia Colvin — 8% model odds
  6. Stoney Fonua — 8% model odds
  7. Jeremy Lewis Friedbaum — 8% model odds
  8. Abe Lincoln Brian Jenkins — 8% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts