Utah House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michael David Leavitt a 44% chance of winning the Utah House 2018 primary. John Curtis won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Michael David Leavitt — 44% model odds
  2. John Curtis — 14% model odds (won)
  3. Christopher N. Herrod — 14% model odds
  4. Henry Rudolph, Iii Kneitz — 14% model odds
  5. Steven Stromness — 14% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts