Texas Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bruce, Jr. Jacobson a 61% chance of winning the Texas Senate 2018 primary. Ted Cruz won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Bruce, Jr. Jacobson — 61% model odds
- Geraldine Sam — 18% model odds
- Ted Cruz — 7% model odds (won)
- Mary Miller — 7% model odds
- Stefano De Stefano — 7% model odds