Texas Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Beto O'Rourke a 66% chance of winning the Texas Senate 2018 primary. Beto O'Rourke won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Beto O'Rourke — 66% model odds (won)
  2. Sema Hernandez — 17% model odds
  3. Edward Kimbrough — 17% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts