Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dayna Steele an 84% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Dayna Steele won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Dayna Steele — 84% model odds (won)
  2. Jon Powell — 16% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts