Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Colin Allred a 73% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Colin Allred won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Colin Allred — 73% model odds (won)
2. Ed Meier — 9% model odds
3. Lillian Salerno — 4% model odds
4. Brett Shipp — 4% model odds
5. George Rodriguez — 4% model odds
6. Ron Marshall — 4% model odds
7. Todd Maternowski — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts