Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mary Jennings "Mj" Hegar a 90% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Mary Jennings "Mj" Hegar won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mary Jennings "Mj" Hegar — 90% model odds (won)
  2. Christine Eady Mann — 3% model odds
  3. Kent Lester — 3% model odds
  4. Mike Clark — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts