Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Eddie Bernice Johnson an 89% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Eddie Bernice Johnson won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Eddie Bernice Johnson — 89% model odds (won)
2. Eric Williams — 8% model odds
3. Barbara Mallory Caraway — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts