Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sylvia R. Garcia a 74% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Sylvia R. Garcia won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Sylvia R. Garcia — 74% model odds (won)
  2. Tahir Javed — 4% model odds
  3. Roel Garcia — 4% model odds
  4. Hector Morales — 4% model odds
  5. Augustine H. Reyes — 4% model odds
  6. Dominique Michelle Garcia — 4% model odds
  7. Pedro Valencia — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts