Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Eric Holguin a 71% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Raul Barrera won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Eric Holguin — 71% model odds
2. Raul Barrera — 10% model odds (won)
3. Vanessa Edwards Foster — 10% model odds
4. Ronnie Mcdonald — 10% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts