Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michael C. Burgess a 79% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Michael C. Burgess won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Michael C. Burgess — 79% model odds (won)
  2. Veronica Birkenstock — 21% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts