Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Julie Oliver a 63% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Chris Perri won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Julie Oliver — 63% model odds
  2. Chris Perri — 29% model odds (won)
  3. West Hansen — 4% model odds
  4. Chetan Panda — 3% model odds
  5. Kathi Thomas — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts