Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kenny E. Marchant a 79% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Kenny E. Marchant won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kenny E. Marchant — 79% model odds (won)
  2. Johnathan Davidson — 21% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts