Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jan Mcdowell a 76% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Jan Mcdowell won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jan Mcdowell — 76% model odds (won)
  2. John Biggan — 8% model odds
  3. Edward "Todd" Allen — 8% model odds
  4. Josh Imhoff — 8% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts