Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Will Hurd a 58% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Will Hurd won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Will Hurd — 58% model odds (won)
  2. Alma Arredondo-Lynch — 42% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts