Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Gina Ortiz Jones a 51% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Gina Ortiz Jones won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Gina Ortiz Jones — 51% model odds (won)
  2. Rick Treviño — 49% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts