Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Rick Treviño a 43% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Gina Ortiz Jones won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Rick Treviño — 43% model odds
  2. Gina Ortiz Jones — 41% model odds (won)
  3. Jay Hulings — 10% model odds
  4. Judy Canales — 3% model odds
  5. Angela "Angie" Villescaz — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts