Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Pete Olson a 55% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Pete Olson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Pete Olson — 55% model odds (won)
  2. Danny Nguyen — 15% model odds
  3. James Green — 15% model odds
  4. Eric Zmrhal — 15% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts