Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chip Roy a 12% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Chip Roy won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Chip Roy — 12% model odds (won)
  2. Francisco "Quico" Canseco — 7% model odds
  3. Anthony J. White — 7% model odds
  4. Matt Mccall — 5% model odds
  5. William Negley — 5% model odds
  6. Jason Isaac — 5% model odds
  7. Jenifer Sarver — 5% model odds
  8. Robert Stovall — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts