Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mary Street Wilson a 33% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Mary Street Wilson won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Mary Street Wilson — 33% model odds (won)
2. Joseph Kopser — 28% model odds
3. Derrick Crowe — 28% model odds
4. Elliott Mcfadden — 11% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts