Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Veronica Escobar a 69% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Veronica Escobar won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Veronica Escobar — 69% model odds (won)
  2. Dori Fenenbock — 21% model odds
  3. Jermone Tilghman — 4% model odds
  4. Enrique Garcia — 2% model odds
  5. Norma Chavez — 2% model odds
  6. John Carrillo — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts