Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jennie Lou Leeder a 50% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Jennie Lou Leeder won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jennie Lou Leeder — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Eric Pfalzgraf — 50% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts