Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mike Siegel an 83% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Mike Siegel won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mike Siegel — 83% model odds (won)
  2. Tawana Walter-Cadien — 17% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts