Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mike Siegel a 70% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Mike Siegel won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Mike Siegel — 70% model odds (won)
2. Tami Walker — 10% model odds
3. Kevin Nelson — 6% model odds
4. Tawana Walter-Cadien — 4% model odds
5. Madeline K. Eden — 4% model odds
6. Matt Harris — 4% model odds
7. Richie Degrow — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts