Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Culberson a 79% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. John Culberson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. John Culberson — 79% model odds (won)
  2. Edward Ziegler — 21% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts