Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lizzie Pannill Fletcher a 56% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Lizzie Pannill Fletcher won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lizzie Pannill Fletcher — 56% model odds (won)
  2. Laura Moser — 44% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts