Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lizzie Pannill Fletcher a 52% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Lizzie Pannill Fletcher won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lizzie Pannill Fletcher — 52% model odds (won)
  2. Laura Moser — 29% model odds
  3. Jason Westin — 8% model odds
  4. Alex Triantaphyllis — 3% model odds
  5. Ivan Sanchez — 3% model odds
  6. Joshua A. Butler — 3% model odds
  7. James Cargas — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts