Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave J.K. "Jake" Ellzey a 25% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Ron Wright won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- J.K. "Jake" Ellzey — 25% model odds
- Troy Ratterree — 11% model odds
- Ron Wright — 9% model odds (won)
- Ken Cope — 7% model odds
- Shannon Dubberly — 7% model odds
- Mark Mitchell — 7% model odds
- Kevin Harrison — 7% model odds
- Deborah Gagliardi — 7% model odds