Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jana Lynne Sanchez an 80% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Ruby Faye Woolridge won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Jana Lynne Sanchez — 80% model odds
  2. Ruby Faye Woolridge — 5% model odds (won)
  3. John W. Duncan — 5% model odds
  4. Justin Snider — 5% model odds
  5. Levii R. Shocklee — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts