Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kenneth Sheets a 30% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Lance Gooden won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Kenneth Sheets — 30% model odds
- Lance Gooden — 22% model odds (won)
- Bunni Pounds — 16% model odds
- Jason Wright — 11% model odds
- Sam Deen — 5% model odds
- Danny Campbell — 5% model odds
- David Williams — 5% model odds
- Charles Lingerfelt — 5% model odds