Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kevin Roberts a 41% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Kevin Roberts won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kevin Roberts — 41% model odds (won)
  2. Kathaleen Wall — 25% model odds
  3. Dan Crenshaw — 10% model odds
  4. Jon Spiers — 6% model odds
  5. Rick Walker — 4% model odds
  6. Jonny Havens — 4% model odds
  7. Justin L. Lurie — 4% model odds
  8. David Balat — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts