Tennessee Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Marsha Blackburn a 25% chance of winning the Tennessee Senate 2018 primary. Marsha Blackburn won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Marsha Blackburn — 25% model odds (won)
2. Aaron L. Pettigrew — 25% model odds
3. Tommy N. Hay — 25% model odds
4. Tom, Jr. Emerson — 25% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts