Tennessee Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Phil Bredesen a 33% chance of winning the Tennessee Senate 2018 primary. Phil Bredesen won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Phil Bredesen — 33% model odds (won)
2. Gary Davis — 33% model odds
3. John Wolfe — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts