Tennessee House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Judd Matheny a 65% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2018 primary. John Rose won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Judd Matheny — 65% model odds
  2. Bob Corlew — 12% model odds
  3. John Rose — 8% model odds (won)
  4. Lavern "Uturn Lavern" Vivio — 8% model odds
  5. Christopher Brian Monday — 8% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts