Tennessee House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dawn Barlow a 25% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2018 primary. Dawn Barlow won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Dawn Barlow — 25% model odds (won)
2. Merrilee Wineinger — 25% model odds
3. Christopher Martin Finley — 25% model odds
4. Peter Heffernan — 25% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts