Tennessee House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Scott Desjarlais a 72% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2018 primary. Scott Desjarlais won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Scott Desjarlais — 72% model odds (won)
  2. Jack Maddux — 28% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts