Tennessee House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mariah Phillips a 92% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2018 primary. Mariah Phillips won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mariah Phillips — 92% model odds (won)
  2. Christopher J. Hale — 4% model odds
  3. Steven Reynolds — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts