Tennessee House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chuck Fleischmann a 48% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2018 primary. Chuck Fleischmann won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Chuck Fleischmann — 48% model odds (won)
  2. Jeremy Massengale — 27% model odds
  3. William E., Sr. Spurlock — 13% model odds
  4. Harold E. Shevlin — 13% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts