Tennessee House 2018 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sarah Ashley Nickloes a 34% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2018 primary. Tim Burchett won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Sarah Ashley Nickloes — 34% model odds
- Jimmy Matlock — 18% model odds
- Jason Frederick Emert — 18% model odds
- Tim Burchett — 7% model odds (won)
- Hank Hamblin — 7% model odds
- Vito Sagliano — 7% model odds
- C. David Stansberry — 7% model odds