South Carolina House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mark Ali a 54% chance of winning the South Carolina House 2018 primary. Archie Parnell won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Mark Ali — 54% model odds
2. Archie Parnell — 15% model odds (won)
3. Sidney Moore — 15% model odds
4. Steve Lough — 15% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts