South Carolina House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave William Timmons an 8% chance of winning the South Carolina House 2018 primary. Lee Bright won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. William Timmons — 8% model odds
2. Lee Bright — 8% model odds (won)
3. Dan Hamilton — 8% model odds
4. Josh Kimbrell — 8% model odds
5. James Epley — 8% model odds
6. Stephen H. Brown — 8% model odds
7. Shannon Pierce — 8% model odds
8. Mark Burns — 8% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts