South Carolina House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sean Carrigan a 79% chance of winning the South Carolina House 2018 primary. Annabelle Robertson won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Sean Carrigan — 79% model odds
  2. Phil Black — 12% model odds
  3. Annabelle Robertson — 9% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts