Rhode Island House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Frederick Wysocki a 62% chance of winning the Rhode Island House 2018 primary. Patrick J. Donovan won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Frederick Wysocki — 62% model odds
  2. Patrick J. Donovan — 38% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts