Pennsylvania Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lou Barletta a 50% chance of winning the Pennsylvania Senate 2018 primary. Lou Barletta won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Lou Barletta — 50% model odds (won)
2. Jim Christiana — 37% model odds
3. Neal Gale — 9% model odds
4. Scattered — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts