Pennsylvania House 2018 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Rick Saccone a 53% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2018 primary. Guy Reschenthaler won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Rick Saccone — 53% model odds
- Guy Reschenthaler — 40% model odds (won)
- Scattered — 7% model odds