Pennsylvania House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Joyce a 70% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2018 primary. John Joyce won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. John Joyce — 70% model odds (won)
  2. Doug Mastriano — 4% model odds
  3. Bernie, Iii Washabaugh — 4% model odds
  4. Ben Hornberger — 4% model odds
  5. Scattered — 4% model odds
  6. Steve Bloom — 3% model odds
  7. John H., Jr. Eichelberger — 3% model odds
  8. Arthur L. Halvorson — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts