Pennsylvania House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brent Ottaway an 81% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2018 primary. Brent Ottaway won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Brent Ottaway — 81% model odds (won)
  2. Scattered — 19% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts