Pennsylvania House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Marc Friedenberg a 77% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2018 primary. Marc Friedenberg won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Marc Friedenberg — 77% model odds (won)
  2. Judy Herschel — 11% model odds
  3. Scattered — 11% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts