Pennsylvania House 2018 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chet Beiler a 66% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2018 primary. Lloyd K. Smucker won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Chet Beiler — 66% model odds
- Lloyd K. Smucker — 17% model odds (won)
- Scattered — 17% model odds